Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Pair and a draw in Rush

I need to run the odds for this hand. I'm curious my equity against his range.


Full Tilt Poker $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em - 9 players

The Official DeucesCracked.com Hand History Converter



Hero (CO): $13.52

BTN: $10.85

SB: $24.73

BB: $29.06

UTG: $4.43

UTG+1: $0.87

UTG+2: $7.75

MP1: $14.06

MP2: $10.60



Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is CO with A of clubs K of spades

5 folds, Hero raises to $0.30, 2 folds, BB calls $0.20



Flop: ($0.65) 9 of spades 3 of spades A of spades (2 players)

BB checks, Hero bets $0.50, BB raises to $1.60, Hero raises to $5, BB raises to $28.76 all in, Hero calls $8.22 all in



Turn: ($27.09) 5 of spades (2 players - 2 are all in)



River: ($27.09) 9 of clubs (2 players - 2 are all in)



Final Pot: $27.09

Hero shows A of clubs K of spades (a flush, Ace high)

BB shows T of spades Q of spades (a flush, Ace high)

Hero wins $25.29

(Rake: $1.80)





Against a made flush:

board: 9s3sAs
Hand Pot equity
AcKs 31.72%
QsTs 68.28%


Against a set:

board: 9s3sAs
Hand Pot equity
AcKs 29.80%
9h9d 70.20%


Against two pair:

board: 9s3sAs
Hand Pot equity
AcKs 44.49%
Ah9d 55.51%

Maybe i shouldn't have been so happy to ship it in....



FG

2 comments:

matt tag said...

I'm not folding top/top + nut flush draw. You need to add a couple more hands to his range, like AQ with the Qd, which you have crushed. That will slide some equity over your way....

bastinptc said...

Reads are rarely perfect. That's why we have ranges. I'm with Matt on this one. I'm shipping it, maybe not with a fist pump, but with fingers crossed.

 
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